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Permutation, Combination & Probability

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medium importance~1 Q in Tier 130 formulas⚡ 13 shortcuts6 subtopics
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Dice, Cards & Coins

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⏱ 3 min read🧩 6 question types🎯 12 practice Q
The idea in one minute

Dice, cards and coins come with fixed sample spaces: 6, 36, 216 and 52. Learn the standard counts once and every question becomes a division.

01

Coin tosses

nn tosses give 2n2^n equally likely outcomes.

Two coins: HH, HT, TH, TT. Exactly one head: 24=12\dfrac{2}{4} = \dfrac{1}{2}.

Four coins: 24=162^4 = 16 outcomes, and at least one head is 1−116=15161 - \dfrac{1}{16} = \dfrac{15}{16}.

Three coins, at least one tail: "none" means HHH, so 1−18=781 - \dfrac{1}{8} = \dfrac{7}{8}.

02

One die

A fair die has 6 outcomes. Favourable counts come straight from the words.

Even: 3 of 6, so 12\dfrac{1}{2}. Prime (2, 3, 5): 12\dfrac{1}{2}. More than 4 (5 and 6): 13\dfrac{1}{3}.

03

Two dice

Two dice give 6×6=366 \times 6 = 36 outcomes. Questions live on the sum.

The sum counts form a ladder: sums 2 and 12 have 1 way each, sums 3 and 11 have 2, rising to sum 7 with 6 ways.

Sum 7: (1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)(1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1) — 6 of 36, so 16\dfrac{1}{6}.

Sum 8 has 5 ways, so P=536P = \dfrac{5}{36}.

'At least' sums use the ladder too. Sum more than 9: sums 10, 11, 12 give 3+2+1=63 + 2 + 1 = 6 of 36, so 16\dfrac{1}{6}.

Rule: Count ordered pairs. (3,4)(3,4) and (4,3)(4,3) are different outcomes.

04

Three dice

Three dice give 63=2166^3 = 216 outcomes. Direct counting is slow — use the complement.

All three same: 6 outcomes, so 6216=136\dfrac{6}{216} = \dfrac{1}{36}.

At least one six: none shows 6 in 53=1255^3 = 125 ways, so 1−125216=912161 - \dfrac{125}{216} = \dfrac{91}{216}.

Exactly one six: choose the die that shows it (3 ways) and fill the other two from 1 to 5 (2525 ways): 7575 of 216216, so 2572\dfrac{25}{72}.

Tip: "At least one" with dice or coins almost always means 1−P(none)1 - P(\text{none}).

05

The standard deck

Learn the deck's structure once. It feeds every card question.

  • 52 cards, 4 suits: spades and clubs are black; hearts and diamonds are red.
  • Each suit has 13 cards: A, 2 to 10, J, Q, K.
  • Face cards: J, Q, K — 12 in all. Aces: 4. Honour cards (A, K, Q, J): 16.
  • Red cards 26, black cards 26. Number cards (2 to 10): 36, nine per suit.

P(heart)=1352=14P(\text{heart}) = \dfrac{13}{52} = \dfrac{1}{4}. P(face card)=1252=313P(\text{face card}) = \dfrac{12}{52} = \dfrac{3}{13}.

Note: "King or heart" overlaps — the king of hearts sits in both groups, so subtract it once.

06

Cards drawn together

Two cards drawn together behave like two draws without replacement.

Both kings: 4C252C2=61326=1221\dfrac{^{4}C_2}{^{52}C_2} = \dfrac{6}{1326} = \dfrac{1}{221}.

Both hearts: 13C252C2=781326=117\dfrac{^{13}C_2}{^{52}C_2} = \dfrac{78}{1326} = \dfrac{1}{17}.

One heart and one spade: 13×131326=1691326=13102\dfrac{13 \times 13}{1326} = \dfrac{169}{1326} = \dfrac{13}{102}.

Both from the same suit: 4×781326=3121326=4174 \times \dfrac{78}{1326} = \dfrac{312}{1326} = \dfrac{4}{17}.

Remember the total: 52C2=1326^{52}C_2 = 1326. It appears in nearly every two-card question.

07

Question types you will see

Each type: how to recognise it, the method step by step, and one question to try.

Type 1very common2 practice Q

One die or one coin

How to spot it:

A single die is rolled or a coin is tossed, and one simple event is asked.

Method
  1. Write the sample space (6 or 2n2^n outcomes).

  2. List or count the favourable outcomes.

  3. Divide and reduce.

Why it works:

Small sample spaces can be listed directly, with no risk.

Try this

A die is rolled once. Find P(prime number).

Show solution
  1. Primes: 2, 3, 5 — three of them.

  2. 36=12\dfrac{3}{6} = \dfrac{1}{2}.

Answer

1/2

Type 2very common2 practice Q

Two dice and the sum

How to spot it:

'Two dice are thrown. Find P(sum …)' — any condition on the total.

total=36\text{total} = 36
Method
  1. Fix the total outcomes at 36.

  2. Count the ordered pairs making the sum (or use the sum ladder).

  3. Divide by 36 and reduce.

Why it works:

Ordered pairs keep every outcome equally likely, which the classical definition needs.

Try this

Two dice are thrown. Find P(sum = 5).

Show solution
  1. Pairs: (1,4),(2,3),(3,2),(4,1)(1,4), (2,3), (3,2), (4,1) — 4 ways.

  2. 436=19\dfrac{4}{36} = \dfrac{1}{9}.

Answer

1/9

Type 3common2 practice Q

Three dice (use the complement)

How to spot it:

'Three dice are thrown' with 'at least one' in the question.

1−(56)31 - \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^3
Method
  1. Set the total at 63=2166^3 = 216.

  2. Count the 'none' case: 53=1255^3 = 125.

  3. Answer 1−125216=912161 - \dfrac{125}{216} = \dfrac{91}{216}.

Why it works:

'None shows six' is one clean power, while 'at least one' is many cases.

Try this

Three dice are thrown. Find P(at least one six).

Show solution
  1. None: 125 of 216.

  2. 1−125216=912161 - \dfrac{125}{216} = \dfrac{91}{216}.

Answer

91/216

Type 4very common2 practice Q

One card from the deck

How to spot it:

'One card is drawn from a pack of 52' — suit, colour or rank is asked.

Method
  1. Recall the deck facts: 13 per suit, 12 faces, 4 aces.

  2. Count the favourable cards.

  3. Divide by 52 and reduce.

Why it works:

The deck's fixed structure gives every count without listing cards.

Try this

One card is drawn from a deck. Find P(face card).

Show solution
  1. Face cards: 3×4=123 \times 4 = 12.

  2. 1252=313\dfrac{12}{52} = \dfrac{3}{13}.

Answer

3/13

Type 5common2 practice Q

Two cards drawn together

How to spot it:

'Two cards are drawn from a pack' — 'both' or 'one of each' is asked.

52C2=1326^{52}C_2 = 1326
Method
  1. Set the total at 52C2=1326^{52}C_2 = 1326.

  2. Count the favourable pairs with nCr.

  3. Divide and reduce.

Why it works:

A simultaneous draw is one 2-card selection, so nCr counts it directly.

Try this

Two cards are drawn from a deck. Find P(both spades).

Show solution
  1. 13C252C2=781326\dfrac{^{13}C_2}{^{52}C_2} = \dfrac{78}{1326}.

  2. =117= \dfrac{1}{17}.

Answer

1/17

Type 6common2 practice Q

Coin toss patterns

How to spot it:

'Two/three coins are tossed' with exactly / at least / at most in the question.

2n outcomes2^n \text{ outcomes}
Method
  1. Fix the outcomes at 2n2^n.

  2. For 2–3 coins, list the outcomes and count directly.

  3. 'At least one' flips to 1−P(none)1 - P(\text{none}).

Why it works:

Few outcomes make listing safe, and the complement kills the 'at least' cases.

Try this

Three coins are tossed. Find P(at least one tail).

Show solution
  1. None: HHH only, 18\dfrac{1}{8}.

  2. 1−18=781 - \dfrac{1}{8} = \dfrac{7}{8}.

Answer

7/8

08

Formula sheet

Coin outcomes
2n2^n

$n$ fair coins tossed together.

Two dice outcomes
6×6=366 \times 6 = 36

Ordered pairs, not unordered.

Three dice outcomes
63=2166^3 = 216
At least one six (three dice)
1−(56)3=912161 - \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^3 = \frac{91}{216}
Two-card pairs
52C2=1326^{52}C_2 = 1326

Total for any two-card question.

09

Shortcuts that save time

⚡ The two-dice sum ladder

Memorise how many ordered pairs make each sum: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 for sums 2 to 12.

Example

Two dice are thrown. Find P(sum = 9).

Show solution
  1. Ladder: 4 ways for sum 9.

  2. 436=19\dfrac{4}{36} = \dfrac{1}{9}.

Answer

1/9

⚡ Deck facts at your fingertips

13 per suit, 4 suits, 12 face cards, 4 aces, 26 red, 26 black. Every card answer starts from one of these.

Example

One card is drawn from a deck. Find P(ace).

Show solution
  1. 4 aces of 52.

  2. 452=113\dfrac{4}{52} = \dfrac{1}{13}.

Answer

1/13

10

Mistakes to avoid

Where most students lose marks on this subtopic.

Mistake 01

Treating (3,4)(3,4) and (4,3)(4,3) as one outcome — ordered pairs keep all 36 outcomes equally likely.

Mistake 02

Counting three-dice outcomes as 36 — three dice give 63=2166^3 = 216 outcomes.

Mistake 03

Calling the aces face cards — face cards are J, Q, K: 12 in all; aces are a separate group of 4.

Mistake 04

Forgetting the overlap in 'spade or ace' — the ace of spades sits in both groups, so subtract it once.

Mistake 05

Using 52 as the total for two cards — two cards together draw from 52C2=1326^{52}C_2 = 1326 pairs.

11

Quick revision

Read this the night before the exam.

  • Coins: 2n2^n outcomes.

  • One die: 6 outcomes.

  • Two dice: 36 outcomes; sum ladder 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1.

  • Three dice: 216; at least one six =91216= \dfrac{91}{216}.

  • Deck: 52 cards, 4 suits of 13; 12 faces; 4 aces; 26 red.

  • Two cards: 52C2=1326^{52}C_2 = 1326 pairs.

12

Practice: 12 questions

Sets of 10, mixed across the question types above. Every answer has a step-by-step explanation.

Topic test · 12 questions

Suggested time 8 min · wrong answers go to your mistake notebook automatically.

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